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History of FIDE ratings

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History of FIDE ratings

The evolution of FIDE ratings, the recent 2024 update, and insights into the Elo system.

Tutorial

September 1, 2024

The first list of FIDE ratings was officially published in July 1971. The initial list featured only 592 players, with Bobby Fischer at the top. Initially focused on the elite, the list has evolved substantially, expanding to include a broader range of players. Today, it encompasses nearly half a million chess players worldwide.

Below, you can view an animation illustrating the number of players in different rating ranges over time.

Animation showing the progression of the FIDE Standard ratings
Animation showing the progression of the FIDE Standard ratings

For a more detailed examination, check out the YouTube video.

2024 Rating Update

The rating pool experienced notable deflation, particularly following the pandemic, as many younger players developed their chess skills without participating in traditional tournaments. This shift contributed to the overall deflation of the rating pool.

In December 2023, the FIDE Council agreed on an adjustment to the rating system. The most notable change was a one-time increase of up to 400 points for players rated below 2000. The adjustment applied the formula “0.4 x (2000 - rating)” to players below 2000, resulting in a 400-point increase for those at 1000, with the increment decreasing as ratings approached 2000. Additionally, the rating floor was raised to 1400 points. Although the change sparked controversy, it was ultimately enacted in March 2024.

Official FIDE graph of a (previously) player rated around 1000 ELO gaining ~350 points in March 2023.
Official FIDE graph of a (previously) player rated around 1000 ELO gaining ~350 points in March 2023.

How does this affect ChessMonitor?

ChessMonitor offers a FIDE rating estimate that translates your online game ratings into an estimate comparable to FIDE Standard ratings. Using a linear regression model, we’ve developed a method that predicts FIDE ratings with a 95% confidence interval of ±118 points. For more details on how the model works and its accuracy, check out this post.

FIDE rating change applied to the estimate history on ChessMonitor to a player with around 1000 rating points.
FIDE rating change applied to the estimate history on ChessMonitor to a player with around 1000 rating points.

We have now incorporated the recent FIDE rating changes into our estimates and will continue to monitor their impact on FIDE ratings. We will likely recreate the linear regression model at some point in the future. For now, we believe it’s the best way to get a FIDE rating estimate based on your online games.

About the Elo System

The Elo system, invented by Professor Arpad Elo (Elo is not an acronym), is a rating method initially designed for chess but now widely used in other sports, including tennis, hockey, and even the FIFA World Rankings for football. Before the first official Elo list was published in July 1971, Professor Elo had already compiled several unofficial lists. One of the earliest, published in June 1967 for the United States Chess Federation (USCF), included just 95 players.

First published Elo list for the USCF by Professor Arpad Elo in 1967. (Adapted from olimpbase.org)
First published Elo list for the USCF by Professor Arpad Elo in 1967. (Adapted from olimpbase.org)

If you enjoyed this little excursion into FIDE ratings and want to discuss it further, let me know in our Discord server! Join our community, share your thoughts, and connect with fellow chess enthusiasts. We’d love to hear from you!

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